One card a day, across every sport, whatever the board looks like.
Tue Sep 22
WNBA picks, Tue Sep 22
Three posts at most three picks a day across every sport, so most days carry no WNBA pick at all. What is here is what was posted before the games started, priced and graded.
No WNBA pick was on the card that day. Three priced 5 WNBA games and judged 20 prices across them; 0 passed both tests. Not one was both a strong enough chance and a long enough price. The whole list is below.
How Three picks sets out both bars, including the games-played minimum per sport.
The board he chose from
Every WNBA game Three could price that day, with the market that came closest on each one. He judged 20 WNBA prices in all across every market on these games; 0 passed both tests. The card is capped at three across all sports, so most of this list is a pass — and the reason each one was a pass is the last column.
Swipe the table sideways for the numbers.
| Side | Market | Our number | Market | Price | Edge | Bar | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks at Las Vegas Aces | Moneyline | 13% | 9% | +1000 | +4.5% | 2.0% | Chance too low |
| Portland FireGolden State Valkyries at Portland Fire | Moneyline | 17% | 13% | +650 | +3.8% | 2.0% | Chance too low |
| Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx at Indiana Fever | Moneyline | 54% | 51% | -115 | +2.7% | 2.0% | Chance too low |
| Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun at Washington Mystics | Moneyline | 12% | 9% | +950 | +2.6% | 2.0% | Chance too low |
| Toronto TempoToronto Tempo at Chicago Sky | Moneyline | 35% | 34% | +185 | +1.4% | 2.0% | Chance too low |
Our number is Three’s own chance for that side. Market is the consensus with the book’s margin taken back out. Edge is the gap between the two, and Bar is the gap that market had to clear — each market carries its own, because a total scatters more than a moneyline. A side also has to reach 55% on our own number, so there are two ways to miss the card and the verdict says which one it was. Nothing here is graded: a bet Three did not place is not part of his record, so the board states what he thought and stops.